Sunday, August 30, 2015

Week #1 - 2015 Arkansas High School Football Schedule

We are just a day away from the official kick-off of the 2015 Arkansas high school football season. Week #1 features some great games put together by Hooten's Arkansas Football. In addition to the Hooten's Classic games, we will see some great match-ups put together by coaches and athletic directors.

The Hootens.com Classic kicks off on Monday (August 31) as Lafayette County and Bearden tee it up at Golden Lion Stadium at the University of Arkansas - Pine Bluff (UAPB). Golden Lion Stadium will then see a contest between Smackover and Warren. Monday will also see non-Hootens Classic games between Stuttgart and Arkadelphia in War Memorial Stadium in Little Rock while Vilonia will travel to play Sylvan Hills.

The Hooten's Classic continues at Razorback Stadium on the campus of the University of Arkansas on September 1 as Alma collides with Fort Smith Southside in the first game. The classic will conclude with traditional power Shiloh Christian facing off against two-time defending 3A champion Charleston. Other games on Tuesday include Greenbrier visiting Beebe, Central Arkansas Christian @ Arkansas Baptist, and Danville @ Dardanelle.

Intriguing week #1 games that are not part of the Hooten's Classic include Bentonville @ Kansas City (MO) Rockhurst, Lawton (OK) Eisenhower @ Fayetteville, Texas High (Texarkana) @ Arkansas High (Texarkana), Pulaski Academy @ Highland Park (Dallas, TX), Watson Chapel @ Batesville, El Dorado @ Camden Fairview, Hope @ Nashville, Ozark @ Booneville, Rison @ Fordyce, and Gurdon @ Prescott.

As always, we encourage you to find a game near you and support your local teams. We have listed the games by conference below, so you will see most games twice. Unless noted, all games are Friday, September 4. There is a Saturday game.

2015 - Week #1



7A WEST
  • September 1 (Tuesday)
    • Fort Smith Southside vs. Alma
      • University of Arkansas
  • September 4
    • Bentonville @ Kansas City Rockhurst (MO
    • Lawton Eisenhower (OK) @ Fayetteville
    • Fort Smith Northside@ Pine Bluff
    • Rogers @ Siloam Springs
    • Rogers Heritage @ Olathe-North (KS)
    • Springdale @ Greenwood
    • Webb City (MO) @ Springdale Har-Ber


7A/6A CENTRAL
  • September 1 (Tuesday)
    • Fort Smith Southside vs. Alma
      • University of Arkansas
  • September 4
    • Benton vs. Bryant
      • War Memorial Stadium
    • Conway @ Cabot
    • Springdale @ Greenwood
    • Little Rock Catholic @ North Little Rock
    • Russellville @ Morrilton
    • Rogers @ Siloam Springs
    • White Hall @ Van Buren


7A/6A EAST
  • September 3 (Thursday)
    • Hot Springs Lakeside @ Little Rock Central
  • September 4
    •  Conway @ Cabot
    • Valley View vs. Jonesboro
      • Arkansas State University
    • Wynne @ Marion
    • Harrison @ Mountain Home
    • Searcy @ Greene County Tech
    • West Memphis @ Forrest City
    • Little Rock Catholic @ North Little Rock


6A SOUTH
  • September 4
    • Benton vs. Bryant
      • War Memorial Stadium
    • Fort Smith Northside @ Pine Bluff
    • El Dorado @ Camden Fairview
    • Hot Springs @ Lake Hamilton
    • Little Rock Hall @ Ashdown
    • Little Rock Parkview @ Little Rock Mills
    • Sheridan @ Little Rock McClellan
    • Texas High (Texarkana, TX) @ Texarkana


5A WEST
  • August 31 (Monday)
    • Vilonia @ Sylvan Hills 
  • September 1 (Tuesday)
    • Beebe vs Greenbrier
  • September 4
    • Clarksville @ Lama
    • Prairie Grove @ Farmington
    • Harrison @ Mountain Home
    • Fountain Lake @ Little Rock Christian
    • Jacksonville @ Maumelle
    • Russellville @ Morrilton


5A EAST
  • September 4
    • Watson Chapel @ Batesville
    • Blytheville @ Osceola
    • West Memphis @ Forrest City
    • Searcy @ Greene County Tech
    • Newport @ Nettleton
    • Paragould @ Rivercrest
    • Valley View vs. Jonesboro
      • Arkansas State University
    • Wynne @ Marion


5A SOUTH
  • September 3 (Thursday)
    • Hot Springs Lakeside vs Little Rock Central
  • September 4
    • El Dorado @ Camden Fairview
    • DeQueen @ Mena
    • Hope @ Nashville
    • Hot Springs @ Lake Hamilton
    • Crossett @ Magnolia
    • Watson Chapel @ Batesville
    • White Hall @ Van Buren


5A CENTRAL
  • August 31 (Monday)
    • Vilonia @ Sylvan Hills
  • September 1 (Tuesday)
    • Beebe vs. Greenbrier
  • September 4
    • Jacksonville @ Maumelle
    • Subiaco Academy @ Little Rock Fair
    • Sheridan @ Little Rock McClellan
    • Little Rock Parkview @ Little Rock Mills
    • Pulaski Academy @ Highland Park (Dallas, TX)


4A-1
  • September 1 (Tuesday)
    • Charleston vs. Shiloh Christian
      • University of Arkansas
  • September 4
    • Decatur @ Berryville
    • West Fork @ Gentry
    • Gravette @ Pottsville
    • Huntsville @ Green Forest
    • Lincoln @ Westville (OK)
    • Pea Ridge @ Elkins
    • Prairie Grove @ Farmington


4A-2
  • August 31 (Monday)
    • Stuttgart vs. Arkadelphia
      • War Memorial Stadium
  • September 1 (Tuesday)
    • Central Arkansas Christian vs. Arkansas Baptist
      • War Memorial Stadium
  • September 4
    • Heber Springs @ Clinton
    • Lonoke @ Star City
    • Newport @ Nettleton
    • Riverview @ Pocahontas
    • Cave City @ Southside Batesville
    • West Helena @ Dollarway


4A-3
  • September 4
    • Brookland @ Cedar Ridge
    • Cave City @ Southside Batesville
    • Gosnell OPEN DATE
    • Cross County @ Harrisburg
    • Highland @ Harding Academy
    • Manila @ Jonesboro Westside
    • Riverview @ Pocahontas
    • Hoxie @ Trumann


4A-4
  • September 1 (Tuesday)
    • Central Arkansas Christian vs. Arkansas Baptist
      • War Memorial Stadium
    • Danville @ Dardanelle
  • September 4
    • Heber Springs @ Clinton
    • Atkins @ Dover
    • Ozark @ Booneville
    • Gravette @ Pottsville
    • Pulaski Robinson @ Bauxite
    • Subiaco Academy @ Little Rock Fair


4A-7
  • August 31 (Monday)
    • Stuttgart vs. Arkadelphia
      • War Memorial Stadium
  • September 4
    • Little Rock Hall @ Ashdown
    • Pulaski Robinson @ Bauxite
    • Fountain Lake @ Little Rock Christian
    • Glen Rose @ Malvern
    • DeQueen @ Mena
    • Hope @ Nashville
    • Mansfield @ Waldron


4A-8
  • August 31 (Monday)
    • Smackover vs. Warren
      • University of Arkansas - Pine Bluff
  • September 4
    • Crossett @ Magnolia
    • Clarendon @ DeWitt
    • West Helena @ Dollarway
    • Mayflower @ Dumas
    • McGehee @ Hamburg
    • Monticello @ Lake Village
    • Lonoke @ Star City


3A-1
  • September 4
    • Mountainburg @ Cedarville
    • Pea Ridge @ Elkins
    • Huntsville @ Green Forest
    • Greenland @ Westside - Johnson County
    • Hector @ Marshall
    • Salem @ Mountain View
    • West Fork @ Gentry
    • Melbourne @ Yellville-Summit


3A-2
  • September 4
    • Atkins @ Dover
    • Des Arc @ Bald Knob
    • Marvell @ Barton
    • Highland @ Harding Academy
    • Augusta @ Marianna
    • Mayflower @ Dumas
    • Bigelow @ Perryville
    • Rose Bud @ Quitman


3A-3
  • September 4
    • Brookland @ Cedar Ridge
    • Corning @ Walnut Ridge
    • Hoxie @ Trumann
    • Manila @ Jonesboro Westside
    • Melbourne @ Yellville-Summit
    • Blytheville @ Osceola
    • Marked Tree @ Piggott
    • Paragould @ Rivercrest


3A-4
  • September 1 (Tuesday)
    • Charleston vs. Shiloh Christian
      • University of Arkansas
    • Danville @ Dardanelle
  • September 4
    • Ozark @ Booneville
    • Clarksville @ Lamar
    • Lavaca @ Union Christian
    • Mansfield @ Waldron
    • Paris @ Centerpoint
    • Two Rivers @ Hackett


3A-5
  • September 4
    • Bismarck @ Spring Hill
    • Paris @ Centerpoint
    • Conway Christian @ Episcopal Collegiate
    • Glen Rose @ Malvern
    • Harmony Grove - Haskell @ Poyen
    • Cutter Morning Star @ Horatio
    • Jessieville @ Mountain Pine
    • Gurdon @ Prescott


3A-6
  • August 31 (Monday)
    • Smackover vs. Warren
      • University of Arkansas - Pine Bluff
  • September 4
    • Bearden @ Camden Harmony Grove
    • Drew Central OPEN DATE
    • Rison @ Fordyce
    • Fouke @ Mineral Springs
    • Genoa Central @ Foreman
    • Monticello @ Lake Village
    • McGehee @ Hamburg
  • September 5 (Saturday)
    • Junction City @ Smackover
  • There are two games for Smackover in Week #1.



2A-3
  • September 4
    • Cross County @ Harrisburg
    • Hazen @ Earle
    • McCrory @ East Poinsett County
    • Marked Tree @ Piggott
    • Woodlawn @ Midland
    • Rector @ Palestine-Wheatley
    • Salem @ Mountain View
    • Corning @ Walnut Ridge


2A-4
  • September 4
    • Decatur @ Berryville
    • Hackett @ Two Rivers
    • Hector @ Marshall
    • Magazine @ Mount Ida
    • Mountainburg @ Cedarville
    • Lavaca @ Union Christian
    • Brinkley @ Western Yell County
    • Greenland @ Westside - Johnson County


2A-5
  • September 4
    • Bigelow @ Perryville
    • Conway Christian @ Episcopal Collegiate
    • Cutter Morning Star @ Horatio
    • Carlisle @ England
    • Parkers Chapel @ Magnet Cove
    • Jessieville @ Mountain Pine
    • Harmony Grove - Haskell @ Poyen
    • Rose Bud @ Quitman


2A-6
  • September 4
    • Augusta @ Marianna
    • Brinkley @ Western Yell County
    • Carlisle @ England
    • Clarendon @ DeWitt
    • Des Arc @ Bald Knob
    • Hazen @ Earle
    • Marvell @ Barton
    • McCrory @ East Poinsett County
    • Rector @ Palestine-Wheatley


2A-7
  • August 31 (Monday)
    • Lafayette County vs. Bearden
      • University of Arkansas - Pine Bluff
    • Hot Springs Lakeside JV @ Dierks
  • September 4
    • Genoa Central @ Foreman
    • Gurdon @ Prescott
    • Hermitage @ Lafayette County
    • Fouke @ Mineral Springs
    • Magazine @ Mount Ida
    • Strong @ Murfreesboro
    • Bismarck @ Spring Hill
  • There are two games for Lafayette County in Week #1. 


2A-8
  • August 31 (Monday)
    • Lafayette County vs. Bearden
      • University of Arkansas - Pine Bluff
  • September 4
    • Bearden @ Camden Harmony Grove
    • Hermitage @ Lafayette County
    • Parkers Chapel @ Magnet Cove
    • Rison @ Fordyce
    • Strong @ Murfreesboro
    • Woodlawn @ Midland
  • September 5 (Saturday)
    • Junction City @ Smackover
  •  There are two games for Bearden in Week #1.

Monday, August 17, 2015

2015 Pre-Season Notes for Arkansas High School Football

Arkansas high school football teams are gearing up to start up the real season after a fun summer of 7-on-7 and camps. Most schools in Arkansas started classes today while the football teams have already been sweating and hitting for about 2 weeks. We are gearing up for the season by publishing our annual conference-by-conference version of the 2015 Arkansas high school football schedule available on one of our page links in the left column. In addition, we have completed the scoreboard links for the 2011, 2012, 2013, and 2014 (also in the page links).

The schedule page contains an open date summary for those still looking to fill a schedule, but that will go away as the open dates pass. The schedule page will also morph to the 2015 Arkansas high school football scoreboard page as the games are played. Each week during the season, we will have an individual post for the games scheduled that week and a results page. We will once again highlight the high scoring teams and identify any surprises.

Before the 2015 football season kicks off in a couple of weeks, we thought we would highlight the retailers currently carrying Saturday Morning Wake-Up Call. The book is carried by all major (and some minor) retail outlets. As always, we recommend purchasing the eBook from Smashwords for a few of reasons: (1) Smashwords pays us higher royalty percentages; (2) When you purchase from Smashwords, you can switch eBook eco-systems without having to buy your books again (you own the book, but you don't have to use a Kindle, Nook, etc.); and (3) Smashwords supports independent authors in ways not found at the other big book sellers. In any case, we are happy with any purchases. Here are the links for the eBook pages for these retailers:
Saturday Morning Wake-Up Call is also available through these "Netflix for eBooks" type apps:
If you prefer the paperback version, here are the links to find it at the best prices:
We have enrolled the book in the "Kindle Matchbook" program with Amazon. If you buy the print edition through Amazon, then you can buy the Kindle edition of the book FREE. If you choose to buy from another retailer, then let us know. We will send a gift copy of  Saturday Morning Wake-Up Call from Smashwords.

Wednesday, April 29, 2015

New Data Is "Rolling" In

Last summer, we presented an example of the type of data analysis that could be done using the methods outlined in our book, Saturday Morning Wake-Up Call. Since that time, coaches from all over the country have sent us requests for the tally sheets and Excel templates in our book. Some coaches have gone so far as to add me as a coach within their HUDL software in order to allow us to produce data analysis and decision tools for them. Below we present the play distribution data for 4 schools that have done just that.

We present the run play distribution data in Figure 1. The probability distribution function (PDF) for each school informs the coaches (and analysts) of the probability of gaining a specific number of yards in the offense. We should emphasize that the play distributions are derived from full seasons of data from each school, but the data is historical. That is, future results may vary from these historical performances. A quick glance at Figure 1 does not reveal big differences in the offenses between the schools, but the differences (particularly with respect to Pulaski Academy) come out as the data analysis goes forward.

Figure 1 - Run Play Probability Distribution Functions
Figure 2 shows the play distribution data from the 4 high schools from passing plays. Again, a quick look does not reveal anything vastly different between the offenses.
Figure 2 - Pass Play Probability Distribution Functions


The other distribution functions (the cumulative distribution function [CDF] and the complementary cumulative distribution function [CCDF]) derived from the same data set from each school are shown in Figure 3 - Figure 6. Differences in the offensive output of the schools become more apparent in these figures.

Figure 3 - Run Play Cumulative Distribution Functions

Figure 4 - Pass Play Cumulative Distribution Functions

Figure 5 - Run Play Complementary Cumulative Distribution Functions

Figure 6 - Pass Play Complementary Cumulative Distribution Functions
The most useful data to a coach in the 4th down decision making process are the CCDFs. Essentially, the CCDF will describe the probability that a team will gain AT LEAST a given number (X) yards. We have built an Excel tool to query the CCDF to give a coach the probability of gaining the yards needed for a 1st down with either a run or a pass play. We can make a sample of this tool available if you request it (arkansasfootballbloggers@gmail.com).

While the decision tool provided by the Excel spreadsheet does not help a coach on the sidelines on a Friday night, the data can be extracted into a useable form. The tables below show examples that would easily fit in a corner of a play sheet allowing a coach to assess the degree of "gambling" with a given play call. However, the full degree of gambling is not known unless he includes the points the other team is likely to score if a conversion fails. We discuss this analysis technique (and a couple of others) in the book.



As a note on the above tables, the conversion probability percentages for Pulaski Academy demonstrate just how potent Kevin Kelley's offense is. He knows that he can depend on ~35-40% conversion percentage on 4th down out to 10 yards to gain. This is an absolutely brutal offense to attempt to defend. To learn more about decision making tools for high school coaches, pick up an eBook copy of Saturday Morning Wake-Up Call at your favorite bookseller for just $0.99.
The paperback version is also available in these retail outlets for just $5.99:




Saturday, December 20, 2014

2014 Arkansas High School Football State Champions


7A State Champions
Bentonville Tigers (9-4)

http://www.mghelmets.com/high%20school%20helmets/bentonville-ar.gif
Helmet Image from MG's Helmets
  • KC Rockhurst (MO) 17, Bentonville 16
  • Broken Arrow (OK) 34, Bentonville 0
  • Bergen Catholic (NJ) 21, Bentonville 10
  • Fort Smith Southside 10, Bentonville 7
  • Bentonville 29, Fort Smith Northside 26
  • Bentonville 45, Springdale Har-Ber 13
  • Bentonville 38, Springdale 7
  • Bentonville 49, Rogers 0
  • Bentonville 42, Rogers Heritage 10
  • Bentonville 45, Fayetteville 2
  • Bentonville 17, Bryant 7
  • Bentonville 42, North Little Rock 10
  • Bentonville 24, Fayetteville 21

6A State Champions
Pine Bluff Zebras (10-3)

Helmet Image from MG's Helmets
  • Fort Smith Northside 26, Pine Bluff 15
  • Pine Bluff 45, Watson Chapel 12
  • North Little Rock 45, Pine Bluff 24
  • Pine Bluff 40, Texarkana 14
  • Pine Bluff 42, Little Rock Parkview 13
  • Pine Bluff 20, Lake Hamilton 20
  • Pine Bluff 63, Little Rock Hall 0
  • Pine Bluff 38, El Dorado 19
  • Pine Bluff 49, Sheridan 28
  • Benton 39, Pine Bluff 36
  • Pine Bluff 41, Siloam Springs 7
  • Pine Bluff 35, Jonesboro 24
  • Pine Bluff 51, Benton 10

5A State Champions
  Pulaski Academy Bruins (13-1)

Helmet Image from MG's Helmets
  • Highland Park (TX) 48, Pulaski Academy 42
  • Pulaski Academy 52, New Smyrna Beach (FL) 20
  • Pulaski Academy 50, Warren 21
  • Pulaski Academy 54, North Pulaski 7
  • Pulaski Academy 49, Little Rock McClellan 14
  • Pulaski Academy 65, Beebe 35
  • Pulaski Academy 55, Jacksonville 7
  • Pulaski Academy 58, Little Rock Mills 7
  • Pulaski Academy 56, Little Rock Fair 0
  • Pulaski Academy 50, Sylvan Hills 20
  • Pulaski Academy 49, Blytheville 21
  • Pulaski Academy 44, Camden Fairview 6
  • Pulaski Academy 42, Batesville 25
  • Pulaski Academy 38, Wynne 28

4A State Champions
Warren Lumberjacks (12-3)
Helmet Image from MG's Helmets
  • Fort Smith Southside 29, Warren 22
  • Warren 28, Stuttgart 12
  • Pulaski Academy 50, Warren 21
  • Warren 30, Crossett 9
  • Warren 46, Star City 21
  • Warren 49, Dumas 2
  • Warren 42, DeWitt 14
  • Warren 54, Monticello 22
  • Warren 45, Hamburg 20
  • Dollarway 34, Warren 15
  • Warren 45, Gravette 7
  • Warren 49, Heber Springs 7
  • Warren 47, Shiloh Christian 21
  • Warren 17, Dardanelle 16
  • Warren 48, Mena 14

3A State Champions
Charleston Tigers (14-0)

Helmet Image from MG's Helmets
  • Charleston 42, Shiloh Christian 14
  • Charleston 42, Gentry 6
  • Charleston 47, Ozark 12
  • Charleston 50, Danville 21
  • Charleston 42, Paris 8
  • Charleston 62, Two Rivers 20
  • Charleston 49, Lamar 28
  • Charleston 44, Lavaca 6
  • Charleston 47, Booneville 20
  • Charleston 49, Mansfield 23
  • Charleston 41, Fouke 14
  • Charleston 49, Osceola 22
  • Charleston 21, Booneville 14
  • Charleston 33, Smackover 26

2A State Champions
Junction City Dragons (13-0)
Helmet Image from MG's Helmets
  • Junction City 33, Smackover 19
  • Junction City 48, Rison 8
  • Junction City 68, Hermitage 8
  • Junction City 72, Hampton 0
  • Junction City 73, Parkers Chapel 0
  • Junction City 39, Bearden 0
  • Junction City 60, Strong 6
  • Junction City 48, Woodlawn 0
  • Junction City 62, Walnut Ridge 8
  • Junction City 42, Bearden 0
  • Junction City 48, Des Arc 0
  • Junction City 50, Earle 16
  • Junction City 38, Hazen 6

Wednesday, December 17, 2014

2014 - Playoffs Week #5 Scores

Last weekend put the final wrap on the 2014 Arkansas high school football season as the three smallest school classifications crowned champions in Little Rock. We expected two of the three games to be competitive, but only the Friday night contest in 3A lived up to that billing. Warren and Junction City both controlled their contests from beginning to end while Charleston was forced to fight all the way through to their second straight title. We want to congratulate all the champions and runner-ups in the six classifications on great seasons.

Like us, the coaches are already starting to look to spring football and summer 7-on-7. As we move into the "off-season," we will have our traditional helmet salute to the state champions, team and individual camp announcements, 7-on-7 tournament previews and results, and some posts with data analysis from around the country. The posts will draw data from high schools around the state of Arkansas and a few other states processed using techniques advanced from those outlined in our book, Saturday Morning Wake-Up Call. This Harrison data example from last summer provides the link to where the book is available.


4A
  • Warren 48, Mena 14

3A
  • Charleston 33, Smackover 26

2A
  • Junction City 38, Hazen 6


Thursday, December 11, 2014

2014 Playoffs Week #5 Match-ups

It is the final week of the 2014 Arkansas high school football season. The three smallest school classifications play their state championship games this weekend in Little Rock. You will find the championship game capsules and our picks below. Next week, we will have the state final results and then eventually present our traditional helmet tribute to all 6 state champions.


4A
  • Mena vs. Warren
    • Saturday, December 13
    • 12:00 pm
    • War Memorial Stadium (Little Rock)
The 4A contest features the Mena Bearcats and the Warren Lumberjacks. The Lumberjacks are familiar with deep runs in the playoffs over the 15 years having won back to back titles in 2001 and 2002. Warren lost to Booneville in the state finals just last year. The Bearcats return to the state finals for the first time since their only championship in 1976. Second year coach, Tim Harper, has Mena firing on all cylinders as they have beaten 2 conference foes in route to this title game appearance. Both teams have played excellent defense during their playoff runs and we don't expect that to change. However, Warren's team speed may be an issue for the Bearcats run defense.

OUR PICK: We are going with the heart rather than the head, so Mena over Warren in a 27-24 game.



3A
  • Charleston vs. Smackover
    • Friday, December 12
    • 7:00 pm
    • War Memorial Stadium (Little Rock)
The 3A title game features the Charleston Tigers and the Smackover Buckaroos. The Tigers are in familiar territory as this is their 6th title game in 11 years, and they are the 3A defending champion. Ty Storey, a highly touted Razorback commit, will be the feature story of the game as he looks to win a 2nd state title on Friday and then enroll at the University of Arkansas in a few weeks. Smackover, on the other hand, is playing for its first state title since the 1949 season. The lone loss for the Buckaroos in 2014 has come at the hands of the Junction City juggernaut in the only close call for the Dragons. So, Smackover is familiar with tough defense and high powered offense. We look for this game to be a back and forth shootout.

OUR PICK: Charleston over Smackover in a 45-42 game.


2A
  • Junction City vs. Hazen
    • Saturday, December 13
    • 6:30 pm
    • War Memorial Stadium (Little Rock)
The Hazen Hornets will take on 2-time defending state champion Junction City Dragons in the 2A state title tilt. Both teams arrive in the title game undefeated with Junction City looking to win its 40th straight game. Dragon dominance has been the story of 2A football in Arkansas for the last decade, and they continue to produce D1 football talent at this small school. Hazen has never won a state title, but the Hornets have looked dominant at times this season as well. The real question in this game may be whether or not the Hornets believe that they can slay the Dragons. If they can keep it a ball game into the 2nd half, then we may see tension that has not been there all season for Junction City.

OUR PICK: Junction City over Hazen in a 42-14 game.